Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.308049 0.414590 0.532399 0.670068 0.824510 0.990685 1.181364
2025-04-20 0.174696 0.313542 0.487011 0.708092 0.973091 1.273121 1.631885
2025-04-27 0.117165 0.268003 0.474565 0.752881 1.099406 1.502455 1.994380
2025-05-04 0.086977 0.248967 0.488530 0.824950 1.254990 1.764143 2.393728
2025-05-11 0.059075 0.222026 0.484175 0.867597 1.369810 1.973908 2.729413
2025-05-18 0.033257 0.185869 0.459050 0.877262 1.439319 2.126391 2.995391
2025-05-25 0.009732 0.132162 0.395421 0.825826 1.424478 2.171522 3.129689
2025-06-01 0.000415 0.087946 0.334967 0.770486 1.398383 2.198143 3.237861
2025-06-08 NaN 0.062230 0.299850 0.747593 1.412000 2.271693 3.400665
2025-06-15 NaN 0.051009 0.291260 0.764356 1.479015 2.412488 3.645647
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036291 0.268770 0.755678 1.508605 2.503961 3.828705
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022484 0.240662 0.733942 1.517373 2.566900 3.975077
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019674 0.246535 0.774668 1.621540 2.761352 4.294952
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017100 0.252426 0.816025 1.727940 2.960604 4.623414
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015746 0.262199 0.864143 1.844022 3.172372 4.967322
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018001 0.287553 0.941554 2.004006 3.442904 5.386122
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016409 0.295943 0.987234 2.116816 3.650835 5.725886
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011413 0.285965 0.997581 2.176509 3.787863 5.975783
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003340 0.243983 0.942487 2.135495 3.788763 6.051647
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000089 0.203133 0.883089 2.084240 3.773377 6.104715
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.180862 0.858476 2.084576 3.826245 6.243651
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.178194 0.876501 2.152093 3.971141 6.501400
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.164224 0.867172 2.175178 4.054406 6.679098